A Reuters poll released on Tuesday shows Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump by two points following President Joe Biden’s withdrawal from the race and his endorsement of Harris as his replacement. However, the poll surveyed a larger proportion of Democratic voters compared to a previous poll on the same topic.
The Reuters/Ipsos poll, conducted between July 22 and 23, revealed that Harris received 44 percent support among registered voters, while Trump received 42 percent, within the poll’s margin of error of 3.3 percent for registered voters. This survey included 1,241 Americans, of which 1,018 were registered voters.
A similar poll conducted in early July, before Biden’s withdrawal, showed Trump leading Harris 43 to 42 percent among registered voters. That survey included 1,070 Americans, with 892 registered voters.
The early July poll sampled 348 Democrats, 322 Republicans, and 303 independents. In contrast, the latest poll sampled 426 Democrats, 376 Republicans, and 341 independents.
Democrats constituted 35.7 percent of the voters in the early July poll, while the latest poll saw a 1.5 percent increase to 37.2 percent. The share of Republican voters decreased slightly from 33 to 32.8 percent, and the share of independent voters decreased from 31.1 to 29.8 percent.
In the recent poll, 84 percent of Democrats indicated support for Harris, compared to 4 percent of Republicans and 38 percent of independents. For Trump, 3 percent of Democrats, 89 percent of Republicans, and 30 percent of independents expressed their support.
In the early July poll, Harris had the support of 84 percent of Democrats, 4 percent of Republicans, and 33 percent of independents. Trump received support from 4 percent of Democrats, 88 percent of Republicans, and 34 percent of independents.
The poll results come after Biden announced his exit from the race on Sunday, following increasing pressure from both Democrats and Republicans after a lackluster debate performance in June. Biden subsequently endorsed Harris to succeed him. In the days since, Harris has reportedly secured enough delegate support to become the presumptive Democratic nominee, with the official nomination to take place at the Democratic National Convention in late August.